Op-Ed: Abe's resignation could leave Japan less secure — and destabilize its U.S. alliance (via latimesopinion)
The nationalistic mood that keeps Abe in power is based on nostalgia, not about the wartime past, but the postwar era of the Japanese economic miracle.During Abe’s tenure, Japan became increasingly more engaged on the world stage. Abe led the Indo-Pacific region in forming a sweeping free-trade agreement, the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, originally conceived by the U.S. as the Trans-Pacific Partnership but later abandoned by Trump.
of Japan. Abe was masterful in reaching out to Trump early and often. Because of his deft diplomacy, Abe was the only Group of 7 leader to enjoy a consistently positive relationship with Trump. It is unrealistic to expect that Abe’s successor will establish the same kind of personal rapport with Trump. Japan’s next prime minister may not even be as patient with the U.S., particularly if Trump continues to criticize Japan.
Unfortunately, Japan’s leadership transition comes at a critical time for the alliance. The two allies are about to engage in a potentially nasty — and, some would argue, unnecessary — fight over host-nation support, an important component of Japanese financial support for American military forces stationed in Japan. Given Abe’s personal involvement in the alliance, Japan has had the luxury of knowing he could step in and manage these issues directly with Trump if needed.
The U.S.-Japan alliance is critical for regional stability. China’s rise and increasingly aggressive behavior present a generational challenge for Japanese and American leaders. With rapidly shifting regional dynamics, it may be incumbent upon leaders in both Tokyo and Washington to deepen and expand the alliance.
Zack Cooper is a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. Jeffrey W. Hornung is a political scientist at the nonprofit, nonpartisan Rand Corp.
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