Opinion by Jennifer Rubin: If the GOP loses its chance to take back the Senate majority, it will largely be due to its decision to nominate terrible candidates.
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver: “[Democrats’] chances of winning the Senate now stand at 55 percent. That’s up from 47 percent from forecast launch on June 30. It’s also up from 40 percent in a retroactive forecast dated back to June 1.” He attributes the change to the Supreme Court’s ruling overturning abortion rights, a run of good news for President Biden, reduced gas prices and some really cruddy Republican candidates.
The path to victory for these Democrats — as it is for Democrats in other competitive races — runs straight through their erratic, radical opponents. That takes nothing away from candidates such as Ryan and Fetterman, whose blue-collar persona, working-class agenda and down-to-earth delivery illustrate how Democrats can hold their base and still reach independents and disaffected Republicans.
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