Opinion | Putin on trial? It’s not as far-fetched as you might think.

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Opinion | Putin on trial? It’s not as far-fetched as you might think.
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Opinion by Christian Caryl: Putin belongs in The Hague. Can the world send him there?

Yet, Moscow might not be able to rely on its friends forever. Images of Russia’s astonishing savagery in Ukraine continue to circulate around the world — which helps to explain why resolutions condemning the war have passedin the U.N. General Assembly. Even some of Putin’s closest allies might shy away from being associated too publicly with the man who wanted to change international borders by force.

There are those who argue for holding back on talk of a reckoning for Putin as long as the war continues. After all, the West negotiated with Milosevic in former Yugoslavia. It was only later, after NATO intervention ended the Kosovo Conflict and a change of government in Belgrade toppled Milosevic from power, that the international community moved to prosecute him.Today, the argument goes, stopping the war should again take priority. Threatening Putin with legal jeopardy would only give him one more reason to continue his aggression.

It’s a valid point, but it’s also possible to argue the opposite: that moving ahead with a tribunal might hasten the war’s end — by signaling that Putin’s regime has lost legitimacy, and the only way Russia can hope to regain its status in the world is by getting rid of him.. He noted that while prosecuting individual atrocities can take years, determining ultimate responsibility for the war is “straightforward” and therefore faster.

A scenario in which a devastating Russian loss — like Milosevic’s catastrophic failure to impose his will on the Balkans — prompts Putin’s downfall and subsequent prosecution remains a long shot. But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t start putting together the case against him.

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