'Democrats have no control over which candidate their opponents select.,' writes paulwaldman1. But they 'can temper their fear by looking at all the potential benefits of a Trump nomination'
. There is no question that if Trump is the GOP nominee, he could win the general election. There is ample reason to think it won’t happen and Biden will prevail, but it certainlyAny election in which Donald Trump is involved will be almost entirely about Donald Trump. And that is not good for his party.
But if we are stuck with a third election with Trump as the GOP standard bearer, we might as well consider the silver linings of a Trump nomination, because they are enormous. Begin with this undeniable fact: Any election in which Donald Trump is involved will be almost entirely about Donald Trump. And that is not good for his party. Republicans fared poorly in all three elections since he won the presidency in 2016, and each poor performance can be attributed in large part to Trump’s malign influence.
Just look at what happened in 2022. Republicans nominated the Trumpiest candidate they could find in many of the most important races — andagain and again, precisely because voters clearly rejected election conspiracists and candidates defined solely by inexperience and fury. In one vital, winnable race after another, in key states including Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan, reasonable Democrats beat outrageous Republicans. It could happen again in 2024.
In between elections, Trumpism has been a poison to Republican state parties. In some cases, loony election deniers have taken over and in some cases crippled their organizations with mismanagement; the Arizona and Michigan parties are
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