The Cubs free agent signings of Dansby Swanson, Cody Bellinger and Trey Mancini don’t impress the PECOTA computers very much.
for every team, and it thinks 2023 will be better for the Cubs, but only slightly better. The algorithm from Baseball Prospectus has the Cubs going 77-85, just a three game improvement from last year. Accordingly, PECOTA believes the Cubs have only a 9.5% chance to make the playoffs and a 4.2% chance to win the division.offseason moves, which included signing shortstop Dansby Swanson, outfielder Cody Bellinger and first baseman/designated hitter Trey Mancini.
PECOTA stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, and it looks at every player’s past performances then projects what they’ll do the following season. “It looks at all of the numbers, and all the numbers that make up the numbers, to see which players are more likely to repeat their success and which ones benefited from good fortune,”Cubs pitchers and catcher begin Spring Training on Feb. 15, and the rest of the team joins on Feb. 20.
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