The conversion rate of penalties in the Premier League has increased significantly this season. This article explores the reasons behind this trend and discusses the impact of recent law changes on penalty taking.
If you’ve ever wondered why a penalty has an expected-goals value of 0.78, it’s because on average 78 per cent of penalties are scored. But in the this season, the conversion rate is almost 92 per cent — 44 goals from 48 penalties. Earlier this month, ’s saved Bruno Fernandes’ penalty to end a run of 32 successful penalties in a row. Advertisement So what is going on? Variance is one explanation. Penalties are binary; they are scored or they are not.
Premier League penalty conversion rates have been as low as 65.5 per cent in 2001-02 and as high as 83.9 per cent in 2013-14. There are periods when players score or miss more. In fact, three of the last five seasons have seen above-average conversion rates. That recent spike might owe to a law change ahead of the 2019-20 season, which required goalkeepers to be on the line — preventing them from starting behind it to jump forward — and minimised their movement. It takes skilled goalkeepers 0.6 to 1 second to dive to the corners from the centre of the goal, and penalties can reach the goal as quickly as
Penalty Conversion Rate Premier League Law Change Goalkeepers
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