'Were more European governments to follow Poland's approach, Ukraine's democracy would be safer and the U.S. military could focus more assets on the Pacific. Warsaw thus deserves America's private honesty about democratic concerns.' -TomRtweets
Still, the U.S. should be cautious about overdoing its criticism. Poland unquestionably remains a democracy. Its government freely won a significant majority in the last parliamentary elections in 2019 . Proportionate concern is the appropriate response.The need for balance matters for a simple reason: Poland is a very close American ally with a pro-American population. It is increasingly becoming a European Union powerhouse, with its economy likely to be larger than that of the U.K. by 2030.
And unlike the governments of so many wealthier European economies, Warsaw puts its money where its mouth is. Poland spends more than 3% of its gross domestic product on defense and plans to reach 4% of GDP spending in the near future. Most NATO members still do not exceed even the 2% of GDP minimum target they pledged to pursue way back in 2014. Poland is also a voice for American concerns at the EU.
This would be the very height of folly. Notwithstanding Poland's own investment of vastly more money in its own defense, or its support for Ukraine and other U.S. interests, any sanction along these lines would immediately alienate Warsaw. Beijing would be the beneficiary. China sees Poland as a prospective Eastern European linchpin that it can lure out of the U.S. orbit in furtherance of Xi Jinping's ultimate objective: namely, his displacement of the post-1945 U.S.-led democratic international order with a Beijing-led order of feudal mercantilism. In stark contrast to France, however, Poland has shown that it ultimately stands with America on China-related concerns rather than with the latter.
Kuisz and Wigura conclude by referencing Joseph Conrad's novel Heart of Darkness. They suggest the book's broken villain, Kurtz, is somehow a metaphor for what Poland is becoming. I disagree. A better metaphor is that Poland has, by its leadership in Europe's defense, made itself the Henry V of Shakespearean lore. After decades of suffering Russian imperial arrogance, Warsaw is now firing aces past Moscow's corrupted hand. Take a line from the play.
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