Today is the big day, the FOMC is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points while initiating lift-off. This will be the first rate hike since before the pandemic. Get your market update from JStanleyFX here:
is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points while initiating lift-off. This will be the first rate hike since before the pandemic. The Fed cut thrice in 2019 and when the pandemic hit in Q1, 2020, the bank triggered a plethora of liquidity programs that helped U.S. markets to find support and, eventually, put in one of the largest and most extended rallies that any of us have ever seen.
For today, we’re looking for a simple 25 basis point hike and with a 96% probability of such, it would probably be far more disappointing if anything else happened. Just a month ago there were strong probabilities of a 50 basis point hike today, largely in response to the still-aggressive inflation that’s printing in the U.S..
But, with that being said, its that outlook that will likely be the big driver from today’s rate decision. This is a quarterly meeting, meaning that the Fed will issue updated guidance and forecasts, sharing their opinions on where inflation will move and how rates will be adjusted in response to this.
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