Putin Has Only Himself to Blame for Wagner Mess

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Putin Has Only Himself to Blame for Wagner Mess
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The fact that this rivalry between Prigozhin and the Russian Defense Ministry leadership was allowed to occur and get worse for months is Putin's own fault.

denouncing him. The very fact that this rivalry between Prigozhin and the Russian Defense Ministry leadership was allowed to occur and get worse for months, though, is Putin's own fault. Instead of putting a stop to it, Putin may have thought that he could both control it and benefit from it. If so, this was a mistake.

It should not come as a surprise, though, that Putin tried to do this, for this has been standard procedure for him. In his foreign policy, Putin has frequently tried to take advantage of rivalries between opposing parties by supporting them both to some extent instead of siding completely with one against the other or not getting involved at all.

The same logic has informed Putin's approach to Russian domestic politics. Putin has long feared being overthrown by his own people in a democratic"color revolution." To prevent this, he has modernized Russia's armed forces as well as beefed up its internal security services. But like every dictator, he knows that security services powerful enough to suppress the opposition are also powerful enough to overthrow him.

Putin's allowing Prigozhin to repeatedly criticize how Russian military leaders were prosecuting the war ineffectively indicates that Putin found this to be useful, perhaps as a means of spurring the regular Russian military to fight harder against the Ukrainians"like Wagner" was purportedly doing. Putin may have also relished being in a position where his subordinates were competing for his favor.

The problem, of course, with attempting to take advantage of rivalries between other parties is that those other parties want to end the game through weakening each other. Prigozhin's repeated, and often crude, denunciations of the Russian Defense Ministry could only be seen by the latter as an attempt to undermine their standing with Putin, and perhaps to ultimately replace them. No wonder, then, that the Russian Defense Ministry held back on resupplying weapons to Wagner .

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