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Harris campaign aide Joyce DeCerce, a compliance manager at the Democratic National Committee , reportedly believes Vice President Kamala Harris cannot “win this year,” a James O’Keefe video that theBREAKING: DNC Manager: ‘I Don’t Think Kamala Harris Would Win;' Admits to Making Empty Promises to Donors“The vice president is so easy to attack, right? She doesn’t have any accomplishments to speak of because she’s vice president. She doesn’t make laws,” the video shows DeCerce admitting.
Statistician Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls and other data to forecast the probabilities of which candidate will win in November, opens the new race between Trump and Harris with an aggressive prediction of a likely Trump victory. Trump is forecast to have a 61.3-percent chance of winning, while Harris only has a 38.1-percent chance of winning. That means Trump has a more than three-in-five shot at victory, while Harris has a less than two-in-five shot.
Here's my overview of the new state of the race. Harris is a popular vote favorite and an Electoral College underdog—but much less of an underdog than Biden.Silver had turned his model off when Democrat President Joe Biden dropped out of the race a little over a week ago to give it time to collect refreshed data on the new contest between Trump and Harris. In the previous model, Trump was crushing Biden, who had dropped well below a 30-percent shot of winning.
DeCerce couches his statements with his solo responsibility of raising money for the DNC. “The end-all-be-all of my job is reporting to the government how much the DNC raised and where it spends its money,” the video shows him expressing.
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