CBS News modeling shows a range of possibilities on election night. campaign2022 alabamanewsnetwork
The election is already underway; millions have voted, and tens of millions more will before Nov. 8. Amid that, eight in 10 likely voters describe things in the country today as"out of control," as opposed to"under control."
If you're watching on election night, this scenario may not be clear right away, depending on which particular seats flip. Specifically, we estimate what would happen if this group constituted 45% of the electorate, while White voters with college degrees and Latino voters made up just under three in 10 and one in 10 voters, respectively. The older, Whiter electorate that results would flip even more Democratic seats, pushing the GOP total to about 238. This scenario, if it emerges, would likely be visible earlier on election night.
And two-thirds favor the idea of private citizens patrolling ballot drop-boxes and polling places. They're alone among partisans in that — independents and Democrats are opposed.Who's winning the message war? What campaign messages have stuck – for better or worse? But this isn't the case for those backing Republican candidates. Most don't care if a candidate supports the events of Jan 6, and four in 10 would be less likely to vote for a candidate who actively criticizes them.
Voters do expect federal action on abortion, regardless of which party wins control of Congress. Eighty-four percent of likely voters think Democrats would try to pass a national right to abortion if they keep control of Congress. A smaller majority think Republicans will try to pass a national abortion ban.Democratic campaigns have been attacking Republicans on Social Security, but that looks to be yielding mixed results.