Resistance to COVID-19 vaccination and the social contract: evidence from Italy - npj Vaccines

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Resistance to COVID-19 vaccination and the social contract: evidence from Italy - npj Vaccines
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Vaccine campaign research highlights the power of individual self-interest cornell

This division within the ideological right is strongly consistent with H4. Italians whose trusted co-partisan elites were most critical of government policies to incentivize or mandate vaccination and who emphasized individual liberty over collective responsibility in their rhetoric were significantly more likely to be unvaccinated than either supporters of left-leaning parties or supporters of right-leaning parties whose leaders publicly and consistently supported vaccination.

Finally, vaccine refusal was highest among those who did not back a major political party with 17.7% not having received a single dose. This is significantly higher than the percentage unvaccinated among supporters of parties whose elites publicly supported vaccination policies .

To test H5, we examine the associations between being unvaccinated and a series of questions about opinion toward one of the most pressing international issues at the time our survey was in the field: the Russian invasion of Ukraine. For many Europeans, the crisis itself invoked norms of collective obligations under the responsibility to protect doctrine, an argument echoed publicly by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the early days of the invasion.

Specifically, we estimate three logistic regressions in which the independent variable of interest is an indicator variable identifying unvaccinated respondents. All models include partisan attachment indicators and demographic controls. The first model assesses support for the Italian government’s efforts to send both humanitarian and military aid to Ukraine in the aftermath of the Russian invasion.

This pattern is strongly consistent with H5. Not only did unvaccinated respondents hold significantly different opinions on these important policy questions than vaccinated respondents, but consistent with theoretical expectations, these opinion gaps were also largest on the questions that explicitly involved collective obligations to help others in the international community and to honor collective commitments.

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