Suella Braverman and Kemi Badenoch will fight to be the candidate of the right
“The right always wins” – this was the assessment of a party old hand ahead of the last Tory leadership contest. They were proven correct. Despite the best efforts of One Nation Tories and centrists,was the victor with her promise of a move to more conservative values. It was only when the project failed that MPs were able to skip the membership and put in their favoured candidate., the membership wants their say – with many MPs scared of what would happen if they were denied it again.
While Badenoch has supporters on the right, she also has some support from the centre. She arrived in Parliament in 2017, and the small Tory intake from that election are very loyal to one another. If she can keep up the sense that she is the one to beat, she could have a frontrunner advantage where the careerist vote – those MPs who ultimately go to whoever they think is the winning team – moves to her.
However, Jenrick has amassed critics over the past year. His decision to quit Rishi Sunak’s government over its small boats policy sparked a period of increased turbulence for the former prime minister. It means supporters of Sunak may not look kindly on Jenrick running. “He wasn’t always so hardline,” argues a party figure. “That could come up in the contest.”
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