Russia Needs to Show ‘Success at Home' to Justify War in Ukraine

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Russia Needs to Show ‘Success at Home' to Justify War in Ukraine
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Russia wants some form of victory before backing down from the war in Ukraine, and escalation in the war is still possible at this point, political analysts say.

Christopher Miller from Tufts University told CNBC that he saw Russia's pledge to scale back forces from Kyiv as merely"a statement of the military reality" and a"distraction from the fact that the real fighting" is happening in the east.

"Russia is in the final stages of the siege of Mariupol on the coast of the Donbas and is trying more generally to grab a big chunk of territory from Ukrainian forces," said Miller, an assistant professor of international history at Tufts. Gaining control of Ukrainian ground will also strengthen Putin's hand at the negotiation table, he said.

Sussex said he sees negotiations between the two sides as a"stalling tactic to allow Russian forces time to regroup and take stock.""It's gonna take you many more weeks and many more months until the Russians are willing to actually engage in real negotiations," predicted Melinda Haring, deputy director of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center.

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