Climate crisis made deadly floods that devastated parts of Germany and Belgium last month up to nine times more likely, a study organised by World Weather Attribution says
A house is completely torn open after the flood, behind it a destroyed bridge can be seen in Marienthal, Germany, July 21, 2021.
Using the growing speciality of attribution science, climate experts are increasingly able to link manmade climate change to specific extreme weather events. In the Ahr and Erft regions of Germany, 93 millimetres of rain fell in a single day at the height of the crisis. The Belgium region of Meuse saw a record-breaking 106 mm of rain over a two-day period.Floods more likely, intense
"Climate change increased the likelihood , but climate change also increased the intensity," said Frank Kreienkamp, from the German weather service. By analysing local rainfall patterns across Western Europe, the authors of Tuesday's study were able to estimate the likelihood of an event similar to last month's floods occurring again.
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