The researchers say the collapse could happen as soon 2025.
that the AMOC is being driven to the brink of collapse due to climate change. In the short term, this collapse could cause temperatures to plunge in Europe and North America, resulting in prolonged periods of extreme cold.
Now, by analyzing statistics from the last 150 years, Ditlevsen and his team say they've calculated with a 95 percent certainty that the AMOC will collapse between 2025 and 2095. This change could be far more rapid than the incremental 1.5 degrees Celsius rise caused by climate change over a century. With a collapsed AMOC, we'd be looking at far more extreme changes in the ten to 15 degrees Celsius range over just a decade.
But while researchers generally agree with this final conclusion, not everybody is convinced the AMOC is about to, well, run amok.of the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , which found in its most recent report that the current was unlikely to just collapse within this century.
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