Scientists Say New, Lower CDC Estimates For Severity Of COVID-19 Are Optimistic

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Scientists Say New, Lower CDC Estimates For Severity Of COVID-19 Are Optimistic
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Last week, the CDC lowered its estimates for future coronavirus infections and deaths. Some scientists say the new model is overly optimistic — and plays into fears that the agency could be responding to political pressure.

"That is not a planning scenario that is appropriate, I think, for a developed democracy," Redlener said."We need to be able to do better than that."

The coronavirus will not spread evenly across the country. Like all fast-moving infectious diseases, it may rage in some areas while leaving others relatively untouched. Experts said people must not only look at the overall picture of the pandemic's danger, but about the chances for sudden, local surges that overwhelm hospitals.

hospitalization rate than the CDC's current number and predicted that many communities would run out of hospital beds without social distancing., according to the American Hospital Association, though at any given moment, many of them are already used by patients with typical ailments unrelated to COVID-19.

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