'In the short run, the child allowance really did help to reduce poverty by a sizable amount (a point that many critics of the program are loath to concede). But new research suggests that the long-term effects will be much smaller,' Scott Winship writes.
, that the child allowance would reduce poverty without meaningfully discouraging parental employment. Opponents, including me, argued that the allowance’s short-term effects on poverty would be at least partly reversed in the long run because the allowance would lead some parents to stop working and would discourage marriage.
Based on the evidence we have now, a permanent child allowance would indeed reduce poverty among those who fall temporarily on hard times. But among those families with the weakest attachment to stable work and family life, it would be likely to consign them to more entrenched multigenerational poverty by further disconnecting them from those institutions.that in 2021, when child allowance checks were sent out for the last six months of the year, child poverty fell from the previous year’s 9.
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