National champions have survived early scares before — but they can also be red flags for title hopefuls.
In other words, not all future champions sail through the early schedule without a care in the world. But does an early test signal that a given team is less likely to fulfill its championship aspirations? To find out, we looked at the first three games for each preseason top-five team in the AP Poll since 2005.
We then broke them into two groups — ones who had early season scares and ones who didn’t — and compared the teams’ end-of-season win percentages and total efficiency ratings to see if those that experienced more early adversity performed worse over the rest of the season.
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