Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD steady around $22.38 as market participants expect four Fed hikes By christianborjon Silver XAGUSD Commodities Metals
Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank estimate four rate hikes in 2022, while JP Morgan brought forward its first hike to March.Silver advances during the New York session, despite the greenback rising firmly in the session, trading at $22.47 at the time of writing. Risk-appetite conditions remained dampened since the European session, spurred by expectations of higher rates as investors assess the last US employment report.
On Friday, JP Morgan brought forward the first rate hike from June to the March 2022 meeting. In the meantime, Deutsche Bank said it expects four increases to the Federal Funds rate after theIn the last week, FOMC’s December meeting minutes revealed that the Federal Reserve is ready to raise rates and discussed the possibility of reducing its $8 Trillion balance sheet that could begin as soon as the US central bank began raising rates.
In the meantime, in the bond market, the US 10-year benchmark note rises almost two basis points, up at 1.789%, a tailwind for theMarket participants’ attention turns to US inflation data and the testimony of Federal Reserve policymakers and Lael Brainard against the US Senate Banking Commission this week for more clues regarding the speed of monetary policy normalization.Spot silver has a neutral-downward bias. The 50-day moving average crossed under the 100-DMA on January 5, a bearish signal that propelled the white metal from $23.25 down to $22.00, a $1.00 fall.
On the downside, XAG/USD’s first support would be the January 7 daily low at $21.96. A breach of the latter exposes October 20, 2021, a daily low at $21.83, followed by December 15, 2021, a cycle low at $21.43.
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