UBS analyzed how 900 stocks perform on positive COVID-19 vaccine news days — and concluded that these 17 are poised to jump at least 9% on the next cycle of encouraging headlines
And then there are those, like Solomon Tadesse at Societe Generale, who suspect that a potential, and say a discovery may actually send markets spiraling if it turns out to be less effective than hoped.
In an Aug. 19 note, Parker analyzed to what degree the market is currently pricing in a vaccine discovery, as well as what stock sectors have benefited most from positive vaccine-related news so far. Parker and his team looked at the four biggest positive vaccine news days since the beginning of May — May 18, July 14, July 15, and July 20 — and broke down the market's concurrent performance, also accounting for economic policy uncertainty.
His assessment, though, is that an even smaller probability is priced in at an industry level, illustrating the upside potentially in store for investors.
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