Supreme Court appears to lean in favor of upholding GOP-drawn South Carolina congressional map

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Supreme Court appears to lean in favor of upholding GOP-drawn South Carolina congressional map
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The Supreme Court is likely to maintain a South Carolina voting map that would allow Republicans to remain in control of a key congressional seat that could play a role in 2024.

The Supreme Court appeared likely to preserve a South Carolina voting map that would likely keep Republicans in control of a key congressional seat, a major redistricting case that could affect ongoing legal challenges in other battleground states and control of Congress in next year's elections.

Citing two experts who have analyzed the map, Justice Elena Kagan said of their findings: 'We can show you that Black Democrats and White Democrats are not being treated the same way, that Black Democrats are being excluded for the district at a far greater proportion. So every regression analysis has things that you can poke holes in, but you didn't give anything in response to that,' Kagan said of the state's claims.

That three-judge panel found that the coastal 1st Congressional District now represented by Rep. Nancy Mace was an unlawful racial gerrymander when Republican lawmakers shifted about 30,000 Black voters from Charleston County over to the state’s 6th Congressional District, which became more solidly Democratic than it was before. That seat is held by Rep. James Clyburn , a longtime member of Congress who is Black.

Both sides have asked for an expedited ruling by January 1 to allow for new maps to be possibly redrawn. Mace narrowly won election in 2020 over incumbent Joe Cunningham by 1 percent, or about 5,400 votes. With newly redrawn redistricting maps in place, she comfortably won re-election by 14%. She was among eight Republicans who voted last week to remove Kevin McCarthy as speaker.

In a situation in which you're bringing in more White voters and moving out Black voters, in this kind of circumstance, you're still relying on race in a way that is, you say, improper?' she said. 'Your argument is that racial data was really kind of driving this because they didn't have a robust set of political data that they were drawing from in order to do this?' The case is Alexander v. South Carolina State Conference of the NAACP .

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