1/WANTED: AUGUST LIFELINE FOR TOURISM
August conjures up images of beaches and sunshine but it may not bring much respite to travel and tourism stocks. Battered by lockdowns, tourism has lagged a broader market recovery, with airline, hotel and leisure shares 20%-50% lower year-to-date.
The U.S. Congress’ dithering over approving more stimulus has pushed gold to record highs above $2,000 while U.S. Treasury yields have lurched lower. But equities too are riding high - clearly the powerful backstop of central bank stimulus is holding firm. The implied volatility rise looks especially steep, given the VIX itself has eased to 5-month lows. The spread between August VXQ0 and October VXV0 VIX futures is at 5.5 points, the widest since the contracts began trading.
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