An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.
“Franklin” hit Haiti & especially the Dominican Republic with very heavy rain last Wed. The hurricane rapidly intensified Sun. night/early Mon. when the storm finally found the “sweet spot” of the SW Atlantic but at least is not a threat to land. There will be some distant impacts on the U.S. east coast. Franklin will accelerate to the north/northeast, & there will be some impacts for Bermuda by Tuesday but *not* a direct hit on the island.
REMEMBER THAT THE FORECAST CONE ONLY INVOLVES THE EXPECTED PATH OF THE STORM. DON’T GET FIXATED ON THE CENTER & REALIZE IMPACTS FROM THE STORM WILL EXTEND FAR AWAY FROM THE CENTER.After meandering most of Sunday, Idalia turned northward overnight as expected & will enter the Southern Gulf followed by a turn more northeast - while accelerating - toward Florida with the Panhandle & upper west coast susceptible to a landfall as a Category 3 . *At this point*...
So there’s a big question on exact landfall which will make a for a wide array of possible outcomes & subsequent damage risk including to the Jacksonville metro area.northward into the Southern Gulf passing to the immediate west of Cuba Monday then a turn more northeast toward Florida with the Eastern Panhandle & much of the west coast susceptible to a landfall. *At this point*...
Brighter colors indicate higher probabilities of winds greater than or equal to 39 mph. Realize any probability above zero is significant considering most days the probability is zero.Water vapor loop. Blue color indicates dry mid & upper level air, white & green indicates high moisture levels:Mid & upper level wind shear is strong across the Gulf - 30-40+ mph. This will be an inhibitor, at least initially.
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