An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
over the Northern Caribbean & is now east of the Bahamas over the SW Atlantic getting ready to make its sharp turn to the north/NW. Westerly wind shear is slowly diminishing but still having an impact on Franklin with the center almost entirely exposed early Fri. to the northwest of the strong convection.
The 2nd image below is the European 500mb model forecast for Monday, Aug. 28th. The alleyway for Franklin is clear over the W. Atlantic with the Bermuda high displaced far to the east while a trough of low pressure moves into the Eastern U.S. The disturbance “wanna-be” near the Gulf -- will have a tendency to get pulled northward given the strong continental high over the Central U.S. shifting more west while some semblance of troughing remains over/near the Eastern U.S.
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