Official case counts have dropped nationally but reporting problems and generally reduced testing in some states makes it hard to place any confidence that infection rates are improving.
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But experts say dropping case counts can be a deceiving sign when the share of positive tests holds steady or increases.acknowledged this week testing had dropped and positive rates increasedIn Texas, the one-week average for positive rates reached 24.5% before dropping to 16% on Wednesday. The rate dropped even more, down to 12%, as of Friday, according to the Texas Department of State Health Services.
Angela Clendenin, an epidemiologist at Texas A&M University School of Public Health, said too many Texans don't pursue testing because there's still confusion over who's eligible for testing. Other factors include a belief that things are safer after the governor ordered people wear masks, closed bars and limited restaurant seating.Fatigue and skepticism also are factors, Clendenin said, especially among people whose social circles or communities have had few infections.
Others cite an urban-rural divide on testing. Metro regions have abundant testing options, easy access and people more willing to get tested. But some rural resident are far more skeptical, especially if they live in a community where there are few known cases.
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