The $1 trillion 'wall of worry' for commercial real estate that spirals through 2027

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The $1 trillion 'wall of worry' for commercial real estate that spirals through 2027
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There are about $1 trillion of commercial real-estate loans coming due through the end of 2024, and closer to $2.5 trillion by the end of 2027.

Big-time landlords have begun surrendering office buildings and other struggling properties to lenders this year, when just a few years ago they were fetching sky-high values amid super-low rates.

Brian... Big-time landlords have begun surrendering office buildings and other struggling properties to lenders this year, when just a few years ago they were fetching sky-high values amid super-low rates. Brian Lane, the Well Fargo Investment Institute’s lead analyst for private credit, pointed to a $1 trillion “wall of worry” as a wave of commercial real-estate loans come due through the end of 2024 , in a Monday client note. The balance balloons to about $2.5 trillion through the end of 2027.

Lane expects many borrowers to resort to private-capital providers for loans, with banks and the commercial mortgage-backed securities market pulling back.

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