The 2023 Title Contenders Are Already Here (johnwilmeswords on why we can safely discount all but four teams having a chance to win it all this year)
Yes, sure—there is more parity in the NBA than ever before. In the Western Conference, for instance, the difference between 13th and 6th place in the standings is only 3.5 games. Much of the playoff crowd is, and will be, too packed for elevated distinction. Don’t get confused, though. As the All-Star break ends, we’re two thirds of the way through the season; not halfway, as many pundits often wrongly state.
Since then, no team has conquered their own malaise and mid-season upheaval in the same way. They simply haven’t. So to believe that any of 2023’s neo-contenders can become bonafide champs over the next few months is to believe that a once-in-a-quarter-century occurrence is about to transpire. And it might, because once every quarter-century, the data tells us, it does. But it’s only four-percent likely. This is a lot of history and math to get to a conclusion more easily reached, though.
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