The history books say the infamous plague pandemic of the 14th century killed at least half of the population of Europe. But recent scientific investigations have called that figure into question
at the Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History in Jena, Germany, referring to the outbreak of plague in the 14th century caused by the bacterium Yersinia pestis. “But it’s hard to say if it is true or not.” Masi’s recent work certainly gives pause for thought.
The 50 per cent figure relies heavily on written records, but these are sparse and mainly from urban areas in a handful of countries – England, France, Italy and the Netherlands. Some cities probably did endure death rates of 50 per cent or more. “For London, the impact was terrible,” says Masi. But in the 14th century, only around 10 per cent of people lived in towns and cities. In order to get a full measure of the impact, you have to look at rural populations.
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