Polling suggests Uxbridge should be a Labour gain but Selby and Ainsty is a stretch 🖊️ keiranpedley via ipaperviews
from the Tories this parliament. They have reason to be confident here too. They have held the seat before and while the swing required from the Conservatives is around 15 points, they achieved twice that in Tiverton last year, a seat they have never held.
However, to lose all three seats would be hard to shrug off. The scale of swing required in Selby for a Labour gain is large and the prospect of losing seats to both Labour and the Lib Dems on the same night would reiterate the threat Sunak’s party faces on multiple fronts at the next election.
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