The coronavirus’ impact is hard to predict. Other viruses make it even harder

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The coronavirus’ impact is hard to predict. Other viruses make it even harder
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After two winters with significant COVID-19 spikes, public health experts warn that this year will likely follow the same trend, especially with the...

A COVID-19 Pfizer vaccine is prepared ahead of a press conference on Tuesday, May 24, 2022 at Dallas County Health and Human Services in Dallas.After two winters with significant COVID-19 spikes, public health experts warn that this year will likely follow the same trend, especially with the development of several new, highly contagious omicron subvariants.

“We’re not looking at just one variant, but we’re looking at this convergence of a cluster of variants that, in some ways, are kind of competing with each other,” Cutrell said. “So you don’t ever necessarily know in a particular geographic area which one is going to win out and become dominant.” COVID-19 hospitalizations have remained low since the peak of the original omicron strain in January, but it’s difficult to predict whether another subvariant will cause more severe illness.

Health experts also expressed concern about treatment options for patients who are at high risk for severe disease with COVID-19. The newest omicron subvariants appear better at evading monoclonal antibodies, which are lab-made antibodies that can help the body fight an infection. Tracking the potential public health repercussions of a COVID-19 surge is made all the more difficult by the increasing number of cases of the flu and RSV.

“The flu is still not a fun thing to have,” said Erin Carlson, associate clinical professor and director of graduate public health programs at the University of Texas at Arlington. “Some people are in bed for several days or a week with it.”

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