100% of our Fed Survey respondents think the Fed will hold interest rates unchanged this month. Here’s when we might see another rate cut, according to the survey.
A strong 61% majority believe China and the U.S. will sign a limited trade agreement in the next three weeks.The survey had 43 respondents, who include fund managers, strategists and economists.
"The risks to the outlook for economic growth and inflation are still tilted to the downside, and the door to future rate cuts remains open," Kathy Bostjancic, chief U.S. financial market economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in response to the survey.But Mike Englund, chief economist at Action Economics, said, "The U.S. economy is ending 2019 with faster GDP, productivity, and hours-worked growth, and lower inflation, than was expected at the start of the year.
"The Fed will be on hold for longer than the market is projecting," wrote John Donaldson, director of fixed income at Haverford Trust. "Even a one-third chance of a cut next June is way overstated."
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