The global death toll from the COVID-19 pandemic has reached 5.5 million. But that figure is a significant underestimate
’s algorithm has a wide uncertainty interval of between 1 million and 7.5 million deaths for India.For China, the model estimates almost 750,000 deaths , but with a wide uncertainty interval ranging from as low as 200,000 fewer deaths than expected, to as high as 1.9 million excess deaths.’s model highlights how countries’ official death counts often underestimate the true number — but that the extent of the underestimate varies.
. “You don’t learn anything by training a model on mostly rich countries with high life expectancy and applying it to poor countries with low life expectancy.” Some demographers see Shotwell’s point of view, saying that applying modelling to countries without their own deaths data is inherently difficult. “The process is intrinsically flawed. The data are a real mess and so any modelling effort is going to be very speculative,” says Jon Wakefield, a statistician at the University of Washington in Seattle, who leads a modelling project run by the WHO to estimate the pandemic’s excess death toll. “It’s very frustrating as the data are so limited.
Deutschland Neuesten Nachrichten, Deutschland Schlagzeilen
Similar News:Sie können auch ähnliche Nachrichten wie diese lesen, die wir aus anderen Nachrichtenquellen gesammelt haben.
Covid-19 news: Joint flu and covid-19 vaccine could be offered in 2023Today’s covid-19 news: · Single covid-19 and flu vaccine could be available in 2023, says Moderna CEO · England coronavirus restrictions might end in March · Thousands of hamsters euthanised in Hong Kong following evidence of coronavirus transmission
Weiterlesen »
Ohio reports 20,483 more COVID-19 cases: daily coronavirus update for Wednesday, Jan. 19A total of 7,119,018 Ohioans have received at least one vaccination, about 65% of those old enough to receive a shot.
Weiterlesen »
COVID-19 concerns force U.N. to prepare tsunami-hit Tonga relief aid at a distanceThe United Nations is preparing to carry out relief operations for Tonga at a distance to avoid a COVID-19 outbreak in the Pacific island nation reeling from a volcanic eruption and tsunami, an official said on Wednesday.
Weiterlesen »
Film/TV Sets Under Strain: Is the COVID-19 Safety Status Quo Good Enough?As the studios and guilds move toward extending an agreement amid the rise of omicron, some entertainment workers say more frequent testing is needed and booster shots should be incorporated.
Weiterlesen »
North Texas COVID-19 surge showing some signs of a plateau, health officials sayHealth officials across North Texas are optimistic we may soon be over the hump in terms of new COVID cases. The state’s positivity rate has declined for three days in a row since Friday. But hospitalizations aren’t showing any sign of going down yet.
Weiterlesen »
The Latest Covid-19 Wave Has Battered Restaurants, According to a New ReportNew data shows the steep sales decline many felt during December.
Weiterlesen »