Analyst Anshel Sag shares Part 1 of his series on the status of 5G in 2022.
In a personal anecdote, last month, I ran a speed test on T-Mobile’s UC 5G network while sitting at a stoplight in suburban San Diego that clocked in at 1 Gbps. I wasn’t expecting to see those kinds of speeds for quite some time, outside of, perhaps, New York City, T-Mobile’s most robust and most mature market. It struck me as highly notable that I was able to see 1 Gbps on a commercial mid-band 5G network in a suburban environment.
I think Verizon’s fixation on having mmWave 5G as the core of its network was a misguided one and is why it ultimately why the company had to spend $45 billion on C-Band 5G spectrum. There was no other way to compete with T-Mobile and AT&T moving forward. Verizon’s projection that its mid-band network will cover 200 million Americans by the end of 2023 is interesting. The company also says the initial 100 million will be covered by the end of the first quarter of 2022.
India is arguably the biggest laggard when it comes to 5G, which isn’t much of a surprise when you consider how long it took the country to get 4G. India didn’t launch 4G until 2012, a whole three years after Verizon’s initial launch of 4G LTE in 2009. It’s almost fitting that India will again likely be three years behind Verizon when it launches its 5G network in 2022.
It’s notable that Europe has not had the same concerns around spectrum interfering with aviation and hasn’t faced the same rollout delays. This fact throws the FAA’s story even further into question. The same holds in Japan, the first country to deploy 3.8 to 4.2 GHz for 5G back in 2019, and the UK, which followed shortly after that. To date, there have been no reports in those countries of issues around airports that have 5G. Granted, Europe is primarily using 3.6 to 3.
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