Cases are currently rising fastest in western Europe, but this has not translated into nearly as many deaths this time. Why?
NINE MONTHS have passed since the first death from a mysterious virus in Wuhan, China. That virus, SARS-CoV-2, has now claimed the lives of 1m people around the world, according to a comprehensive tally by Johns Hopkins University. The number of people known to have been infected with covid-19 is estimated to be more than 33m.still. Consider the results of serosurveys, which test for covid-19 antibodies in blood samples.
Many countries are already suffering second waves. Cases are currently rising fastest in western Europe. On September 27th alone, a record 46,000 new cases were recorded across 40 countries in the region. But the rising number of cases has not translated into nearly as many deaths this time. This is largely because testing is about four times more prevalent now than it was in the spring, and many of the people testing positive are younger. Covid-19 is also.
The virus shows no sign of abating. The number of people testing positive for covid-19 around the world has been rising by over 200,000 a day since July 10th. On September 24th a record 360,000 new cases were recorded. Since April 4th, at least 5,000 people have lost their lives to the disease every day. It took 140 days to go from 1,000 to 500,000 deaths; but just 91 days to reach 1m. At current rates, another 500,000 people are likely to die within the next 75 days.
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