Treasury yields surge likely to be capped by ‘new conundrum’ – Goldman Sachs YieldCurve Fed Banks
Analysts at Goldman Sachs believe that the bond market will be reluctant to lift the terminal rate even as the Federal Reserve hikes rates in the coming year.“There are two possible explanations” for the new bond market conundrum, “a widely prevalent low terminal rate view, or that the price signal is distorted by supply/demand imbalance.”
“Goldman has increased its year-end estimate for the policy sensitive two-year note yield to 1.35%, from 1.15%, as its economists now project “three hikes by the end of 2022, and a steady three hikes per year pace thereafter.” Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements.
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