For as well as Trump performed with white working class voters in 2016, he needs to do even better with them in 2020 to win the election. The question is: Can he?
Bill, the elder brother at age 67, sported a thick white beard and sat atop a black Harley-Davidson while talking with Bob, 61, outside their mother’s home under the shade of a towering elm tree. The house, which appears in fine condition, was condemned—“the type of thing that wouldn’t happen if you knew someone at city hall, or knew who to hand an envelope to,” Bill says—and they’ve dumped money and time into getting it up to code.
He doesn’t think Trump’s behavior has changed much since. What has changed, Bob told me, is the “chaos” he sees unfolding across America. Standing outside his childhood home, a few blocks north of the McHale residence, the 43-year-old Barbuti told me he wasn’t willing to “settle” for either Clinton or Trump. A self-described “Democrat who doesn’t vote based on party loyalty,” Barbuti was never interested in Trump. And despite giving Clinton every opportunity to earn his vote, he said, she never did.
But, like many of his neighbors, McLane knows lots of people who stayed home in protest of both candidates. “I wasn’t terribly surprised that she lost. There’s an awful lot of people who might have otherwise voted for any other Democrat, who couldn’t vote for Hillary Clinton,” he said. “A lot of them were just fed up—first another Bush, then another Clinton, and it was like, ‘OK, enough already.’ People wanted something different. I understand that.
“Because, I guarantee you, Trump is going to get crushed in the southeast, in Philadelphia and the suburbs. So, I think Biden wins big here. But I don’t put anything past this president. We have no idea how he’ll respond to losing. That’s what makes him so dangerous.”McLane knows more than a few people who think it’s the Democrats who are “dangerous”—precisely the message Trump and his campaign are pushing amid a summer of national unrest. McLane isn’t buying it.
“Bunch of bullshit,” said Dave, who retired after more than three decades as a truck driver. “Enough of the handouts. It’s not going to do anyone any good in the long term.” “He is! He is!” Ann raised her voice, trying to be heard. “I’m sorry, but he is. And Trump, that asshole, forget about it. He should have never been president in the first place. So, I can’t vote for either one of them.”Kreinberg, perhaps trying to change the subject to lessen the tension, chimed in: “What about the Independent Party? What about the one guy—what’s his name, the rapper.
“I just don’t know how all these people are going to make it,” Roberta said, mentioning the wave of local businesses that shut down even before the coronavirus invasion, and the countless more that have been neutered since. “Some people, when they lost their work—like my daughter, when her bar shut down—her husband still works, so they could get by.
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