Trump stokes a new threat to Wall Street: Election chaos

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Trump stokes a new threat to Wall Street: Election chaos
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Wall Street can deal with whoever wins the presidential election this fall. What investors can’t stomach is a rapid descent into banana republic-style chaos, in which the result is either unclear for months or Trump loses but refuses to leave office

Against that shaky backdrop, Wall Street analysts are increasingly bracing for a chaotic Election Day and a bitter battle to follow that could feature protests and even violence in the streets. The unrest could make it impossible for investors to make new market bets based on the kinds of policies that might go into effect next year, and could even exacerbate concerns about the economy sliding backward with the coronavirus pandemic still wreaking havoc on consumers and businesses.

The United States has seen bitterly disputed presidential election results in the past. In 2000, it took weeks to decide the race between George W. Bush and Al Gore. Legal battles raged over the recount in Florida with the Supreme Court finally weighing in to stop the recount and award the election to Bush. Stocks slid throughout that period.

Today’s far more unsettled environment — for markets, the economy and the political system — risks exploding in unpredictable ways.

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