U.S. Coronavirus Infection Surge ‘Yet To Materialize’ As People Resume Activity, Forecasters Say

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U.S. Coronavirus Infection Surge ‘Yet To Materialize’ As People Resume Activity, Forecasters Say
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An anticipated surge in U.S. Covid-19 infections has “yet to materialize” despite increases in human mobility as states loosen restrictions, forecasters say by lisettevoytko

, and shared preliminary data on which states’ residents are more likely to wear masks while out in public.AP Photo/Kathy Willensthe University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, the model update notes that an approximately two-week lag time exists between increased human mobility and a potential spike in infections, but one has not yet happened.

The institute has not yet “formally incorporated” mask-wearing into its estimates, with that aspect of the model “in progress,” but says it provides insight into human behavior and its relationship to the pandemic. A survey the institute conducted with crowdsourcing data collection company Premise found that 80% of respondents in 18 states said they “sometimes or always” wore masks when leaving home.

In contrast, the survey found that in four states that just 60% or fewer respondents similarly wore masks outside the home.

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