U.S. manufacturing activity near 1-1/2-year high, factory job losses persist

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U.S. manufacturing activity near 1-1/2-year high, factory job losses persist
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U.S. manufacturing activity accelerated to its highest level in nearly 1-1/2 years in July as orders increased despite a resurgence in new COVID-19 infections, which is raising fears about the sustainability of a budding economic recovery.

FILE PHOTO: Jamison Spurlock pushes a mini-bike forward on an assembly line at motorcycle and go-kart maker Monster Moto in Ruston, Louisiana January 25, 2017. REUTERS/Nick Carey

The ISM said “sentiment was generally optimistic” among manufacturers. The continued improvement in manufacturing despite skyrocketing coronavirus cases, especially in the densely populated South and West regions where authorities in hard-hit areas are closing businesses again and pausing reopenings, is encouraging.

The economy suffered its biggest blow since the Great Depression in the second quarter, with gross domestic product contracting at its sharpest pace in at least 73 years. The ISM’s forward-looking new orders sub-index increased to a reading of 61.5 in July, the highest since September 2018, from 56.4 in June. The survey’s measure of order backlogs at factories rebounded as did orders for exports.

Lack of demand has been highlighted by major manufacturers. Caterpillar Inc last week reported lower second-quarter earnings. The heavy equipment maker, a bellwether for economic activity, said retail sales declines would not worsen in the current quarter, but did not expect them to improve either. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 1.6 million jobs last month after a record 4.8 million in June. The Labor Department is scheduled to release July’s employment report on Friday.

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