U.S. Winter Outlook: Wetter South, warmer North

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U.S. Winter Outlook: Wetter South, warmer North
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Drought improvement likely across the Southeast, Gulf Coast and Texas amid ongoing El Nino

means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites..This year, El Nino is in place heading into winter for the first time in four years, driving the outlook for warmer-than-average temperatures for the northern tier of the continental United States, according to NOAA’s U.S.

“According to the Oct. 17 U.S. Drought Monitor, a third of the country, including Puerto Rico, is in drought,” said Brad Pugh, operational drought lead with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “During late October, heavy precipitation is likely to result in drought improvement for the central U.S. El Nino with its enhanced precipitation is expected to provide drought relief to the southern U.S. during the next few months.”The 2023-2024 U.S.

Near-normal seasonal mean temperatures are most likely for a region from the south-central Rockies to the southern Plains.The 2023-2024 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely across the South and Southeast and parts of California and Nevada. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast for parts of the northern tier of the United States.

Much of the central portion of the U.S. falls into the category of equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average seasonal total precipitation.The U.S. Drought Outlook map for November 2023 through January 2024 predicts drought improvement in the South, lower Mississippi Valley, Texas and parts of the Midwest. Drought is likely to persist in portions of the desert Southwest, in parts of the Pacific Northwest eastward along the northern tier to the Great Lakes, and across Hawaii.

Drought conditions are expected to persist for the northern Rockies, northern Great Plains, and portions of the desert Southwest this winter.

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