Makhachev vs Volkanovski odds for UFC 294 betting. Picks and predictions for Makhachev vs Volkanovski on October 21, 2023.
Plenty is at stake when Islam Makhachev and Alex Volkaovski square off in their rematch, and fans should be treated to an epic bout. Our UFC picks have broken down each fighter and believe the underdog Volk will walk out victorious — find out why.on October 21. These two champs fought earlier this year, with Volkanovski moving up in weight to challenge Makhachev for the lightweight belt.
If Volk was coming into this fight at 100% health with the benefit of a full camp, he'd likely be a short dog in the neighborhood of +120 for an implied probability of 45.5%. So the big question is whether the short notice in this matchup justifies a price of +200 for an implied probability of 33.3%.
He also typically fights at 145 pounds so the cut to 155 won't be as grueling for him as it would be for other fighters. Makhachev's grappling and full camp give him a slight edge here but not enough to play him at -250. I'm leaning toward the challenger at 2:1 or better.
That said, his own durability will be tested by this short-notice fight and Makhachev is an elite grappler who racks up finishes on the mat. He was able to take down Volk four times in the first fight and although he struggled with Volk's shorter frame when hunting for submissions, he'll be relentless with those attempts.
Makhachev had previously been criticized for the caliber of his opposition, but he put those questions to rest by dominating Charles Oliveira to win the lightweight title before beating Volkanovski four months later.
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