Warren on pace with Biden in Iowa

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Warren on pace with Biden in Iowa
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Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden lead the field in a virtual tie in Iowa

Elizabeth Warren has pulled slightly ahead of Joe Biden for the first time in Iowa, as the gulf between the two frontrunners and the rest of the field widens.

Then, hours before the poll’s release, Sen. Cory Booker’s campaign manager, Addisu Demissie, warned in a memo to staff and supporters that “time is running out” for Booker’s campaign and that “we do not see a legitimate long-term path forward” if the campaign can’t raise another $1.7 million by Sept. 30.

Lesser-polling candidates will take a small degree of comfort in the fact that neither frontrunner is pulling even one-quarter of the electorate’s support. In addition, Biden, a centrist, and Warren, a more progressive Democrat, represent different ideological wings of the party, reducing the likelihood that if one of them collapses, his or her supporters would rush to the other.

But there is an enthusiasm gap in Warren's favor. Nearly one-in-three Warren supporters, 32 percent, say they are "extremely enthusiastic" about caucusing for the Massachusetts senator, compared to 22 percent of Biden's backers. The poll comes as all the major candidates descended on Iowa for the Polk County Democratic Party’s annual steak fry, which drew theThe sharpest divide among likely caucus-goers is between younger and older voters. Biden is the first choice of more than a third of seniors aged 65 or older, 35 percent. But Warren is the top choice for caucus-goers under 35, with 27 percent to Sanders' 11 percent and Biden's 9 percent.

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