Was Trump really wrong about Hurricane Dorian’s threat to Alabama?

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Was Trump really wrong about Hurricane Dorian’s threat to Alabama?
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Here are five things to know about Hurricane Dorian, Donald Trump's Sharpie-doctored map, Alabama and the rest of the Southeastern U.S.

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So what’s the real story? Here are five things to know about Dorian, Trump, Alabama and the rest of the Southeastern U.S.:The map Trump showed off in the White House on Wednesday — the unaltered, at least — was a five-day forecast from the National Hurricane Center issued at 11 a.m. on Aug. 29. The “cone of uncertainty” included most of Florida, excluding the panhandle west of the “Big Bend” area, and a little bit of southeastern Georgia.

The only probabilistic measure of an impact on Alabama ever issued by the National Hurricane Center was a product that predicts the chance of tropical storm-force winds of 39 miles per hour or greater occurring in a five-day period. The greatest odds for any site in Alabama to receive winds of tropical storm intensity was 11 percent, in a forecast issued on Aug. 30.Longer-term computer guidance did suggest, for a time, that Dorian could enter the Gulf of Mexico.

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