Our favorite college football best bets and player props for Week 1. NCAAF player props featuring Kaleb Johnson, Jawhar Jordan, and Garrett Greene.
’s top skill position players after rising from fifth on the depth chart a year ago to a starter by season’s end. He’s a home-run threat who managed 815 rushing yards and four touchdowns a year ago despite playing in a crowded backfield and competing for carries with dangerous dual threat Malik Cunningham. Cunningham’s since departed for the NFL and most of the other competition for backfield touches is no longer around, parting the seas for more touches in 2023.
I like this matchup for Jordan against a Georgia Tech defense that had issues stopping the run a year ago, checking in at 112th in EPA per Rush and 110th in rushing success rate. The Yellow Jackets lose an elite duo at linebacker in Ayinde Eley and Charlie Thomas, who combined for 230 tackles, 20 TFL, and 5.5 sacks. Considering they allowed 188.6 rushing yards per game a year ago even with those two stars on the field, it wouldn’t be surprising if they took another step back in 2023.
I also like that this is a conference game in which Louisville is favored but not expected to blow out its opponent. Far too often in Week 1, a prop looks too good to be true and it turns out to be so after the starters get pulled after piling up a big lead early. That’s not anticipated to be the case here as the Cardinals are a -7.5 road favorite — just enough to foster a positive game script for a running back.
Jordan topped this mark in each of the last five games of 2022 while averaging 111 rushing yards per game in that span. We’ve seen what he can do as a starter, and he enters 2023 as the clear-cut RB1 for Jeff Brohm’s Cardinals.
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