Scotland have it all to do but a heroic effort against Ireland could still send the world's No 1 nation home early - here are all the permutations
Their next opponents, Romania, have bled a total of 158 points in losses inflicted by Ireland and the Springboks and have responded with just eight of their own – so another heavy defeat at the hands of Scotland seems the most likely outcome in Lille on 30 September.
Assuming South Africa also emerge from their Tonga clash on Sunday with a comfortable victory, the top of Pool B would be as follows heading into the Ireland versus Scotland match the following weekend:– 10 points, 3 games played However, should the world No 1 manage to secure either of those bonus points on offer, Scotland would need four tries against a resolute Irish defence to secure one of their own. But in that situation – again assuming South Africa finish with 15 points as well – the fact that all three teams would have recorded wins against each other would mean the deciding metric would be points difference, which currently is not in Scotland’s favour.
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