What to Believe

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What to Believe
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4 tricks to help discern what's true from what seems true but isn't

The concept of face validity could be applied to a wide range of assertions: Does it make sense? For example, let’s say that someone argues that a computerized tutorial can individualize more easily than can a human tutor. While you’d want more information before supporting computerized over human tutoring, that assertion does comport with common sense and hence has some face validity.

More broadly, study after study finds, alas, that pundits predict no better than a coin toss, whether

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