What to expect in Virginia's election for control of the state legislature

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 What to expect in Virginia's election for control of the state legislature
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Control of Virginia’s legislature is up for grabs in Tuesday's off-year general election

Although his name won't appear on the ballot, Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin looms large over Tuesday's general election in Virginia. Republicans hope to gain full control of the state legislature and clear a path for the governor to enact his proposals on abortion, education, taxes and other key policy priorities. Democrats seek to maintain control of at least one chamber and possibly flip the other to continue to serve as a check against Youngkin's agenda.

The Associated Press will provide coverage for 105 contests in Virginia, including 35 in the state Senate, 68 in the House of Delegates, one in Loudoun County for commonwealth’s attorney and a ballot measure in Richmond on authorizing a casino. All 40 state Senate seats and 100 state House seats are up for election this year, but several seats in both chambers are uncontested. WHO GETS TO VOTE?All registered voters in Virginia are eligible to vote in Tuesday’s general election.

Normally in legislative elections, a key analytical tool in making race calls is comparing the current election night vote result with previous election results for the same contest. Since this is the first election held under these new boundaries, past Senate and House results are not a meaningful point of comparison. However, district level results from the 2020 presidential race and the 2021 gubernatorial race do provide a general sense of each district’s partisan voting history.

As of Wednesday, there were 6,122,466 voters registered in Virginia. Virginia does not register voters by party. More than 582,000 voters had cast ballots before Election Day, 36% by mail and 64% in person. In the 2022 general election, 32% of the vote was cast before Election Day. It was slightly higher in the 2021 general election for governor at 36%.

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