It may not save the Tories - but Sunak’s next reshuffle could shape the conversation about who eventually succeeds him
This is not a commentary on a full-blown leadership contest. But it is the chatter among Tory members and MPs as the Conservatives start to imagine who would follow in the event of a Tory electoral defeat next year.can take heart that for now there is no serious talk of ousting him ahead of polling day. But where he faces a problem is that too many of his MPs are starting to see a loss as inevitable.
It means the publication this week of the latest ConservativeHome league table of the Tory grassroots – with Ben Wallace, Penny Mordaunt, James Cleverly, Kemi Badenoch and Steve Barclay in the top five – was met with particular interest in Westminster. Speak to a Tory MP and the most common names that come up in terms of succession are Badenoch, Mordaunt, Braverman and Cleverly. “Cleverly is underpriced,” says one MP of the Foreign Secretary. “The others could blow themselves up and he could come in as the candidate more MPs than not could live with.”Keir Starmer to fall short of a majorityWere the party to face heavy losses, the desire for a fresh face would be strong. “The post-mortem will decide a lot,” says one Tory strategist.
For now, Sunak needs to put an end to such navel-gazing and bring in a tighter sense of discipline and focus when MPs return to the House of Commons next week.
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