The stability of the Queen's reign is coming to an end at a perilous time for the union as the calls for Scottish and Irish independence strengthen. Meanwhile, it is an uncomfortable fact that supporting the Union is no longer in the EU's strategic interest.
This month's Platinum Jubilee was a celebration of permanence. Seventy years on the throne by the same Queen of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
The identities GB and UK are relatively recent historical innovations. The Scottish and English monarchies combined in 1603. The Act of Union between the two countries came 100 years later. Northern Ireland came into existence a century ago when parts of the island of Ireland gained independence. Devolved governments were only established for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland during the Tony Blair government at the start of this century.
The desire was to take back control, deemed to have been lost to the supranational power of the European Union. England and Wales voted to Leave, Scotland and Northern Ireland voted by bigger margins to Remain. The UK"Brexited" from the EU.
The UK has withdrawn from the EU and the UK government is proposing unilateral changes to the implementation of the protocol and, now because of its difficulties over sending migrants to Rwanda, to the ECHR as well. This government bridles at international agreements and adjudicators being able to impact on its actions even when they cross international borders.
Meanwhile the SNP is arguing that sticking with the smaller union of the UK, long shorn of the glories of Empire, is now depriving Scotland of the benefits of membership of a bigger union with Europe. Its new campaign argues that smaller nations within the EU are richer, happier, and fairer than the UK.
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